Are We Due For an Upset Somewhere?

There seems to be a large consensus on who will be winning the major Oscars this year, with the only two categories experiencing some deviation being Best Picture and Original Screenplay.  I'm on the record as stating that Best Actress isn't as clear as most have made it out to be, but Roger Ebert is right when he recently said this has been one of the easiest years to predict the winners.  With that in mind it has to beg the question whether we are due for an upset.  This past decade hasn't seen many big upsets in terms of the acting categories, Marcia Gay Harden, Adrien Brody and to a lesser extent Alan Arkin have been among the biggest.  The upset story of the decade has to go to Crash four years ago for beating Brokeback Mountain.  If an upset were to occur, where will it be?  A Streep win would be a very minor upset and it seems unlikely for an upset in the supporting categories (none of the apparent also-rans seem strong enough to win).  I suppose that leaves a disappointed Jeff Bridges in favor of Colin Firth?  This is all just idle speculation I want there to be an upset to shake up Oscar night, but given that nomination morning gave us few surprises that likely doesn't bode well for those outside shots.  Another four days and we'll find out.